XMR Predictions

The market knows. Ours just doesn't know you.

Predict outcomes, take positions, and collect in XMR — without revealing who you are.

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Politics

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Elections

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Companies

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Economics

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Why XMR Predictions?

Because we trust you.

Provably Private

Provably Private

No KYC. No identity verification. No personal data collected. Trade under a pseudonym, settle in Monero — the only prediction market where your positions are nobody's business.

Provably Fair

Provably Fair

Constant product math prices every trade. Resolution criteria are public, sourced from verifiable OSINT. No house edge. No backroom decisions. The protocol is the referee.

Provably Yours

Provably Yours

No gatekeepers. No permission needed. No banks, no compliance departments, no frozen accounts. Deposit XMR and trade — on your terms, not theirs.

From the same team

Built on Proven Foundations

XMR Predictions is built by the team behind two of the most-used Monero ecosystem tools. The same commitment to privacy, accuracy, and open access — applied to prediction markets.

XMRHub

The Monero ecosystem directory

XMRHub is the leading educational and directory resource for the Monero ecosystem — covering wallets, exchanges, mining pools, merchant tools, and protocol documentation. Built for newcomers and veterans alike, it has served as the entry point for thousands of Monero users since launch. The same commitment to technical accuracy and community trust informs every market listed on XMR Predictions.

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XMRMap

Live Monero network visualization

XMRMap provides real-time visualization of the Monero peer-to-peer network — node distribution, connection topology, geographic spread, and network health metrics. It is one of the few tools that makes the decentralized infrastructure of Monero legible to non-technical users while providing the depth that researchers and node operators require. Network data from XMRMap informs several network-category markets on this platform.

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Built Different

Pseudonymous. No KYC. No Identity.

You are identified by a pseudonymous handle of your choosing — no email, no wallet connect prompt, no government ID. Your trades are stored server-side under that handle only. There is no identity database — only pseudonyms and positions.

Settlement in XMR. Fungible by Default.

Winnings arrive in Monero — indistinguishable from any other XMR in existence. No exchange can flag them. No chain analyst can correlate them to a market outcome. FCMP++ and stealth addresses ensure your payout is private from the moment it leaves settlement. Your profit is cash, not a traceable token.

Resolution From Public Data Only.

Every market resolves from sources anyone can verify independently: Monero block explorers, official GitHub release tags, aggregated exchange price data, p2pool.observer statistics, CCS funding pages. A 48-hour dispute window lets any participant challenge a proposed resolution with counter-evidence. No central authority decides outcomes.

Featured Predictions

Three Steps. One Pseudonym.

Full explanation →
01

Browse Active Markets

Find a Monero ecosystem question you have an informed view on — price milestones, protocol upgrade timelines, network metrics. Every market has explicit resolution criteria and a named, publicly verifiable data source.

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02

Take a Position in XMR

Buy YES or NO shares. The share price equals the market's implied probability. YES at 0.67 XMR means the collective consensus gives it 67% odds. Your max loss is always your position size — no leverage, no margin calls, no surprises.

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03

Collect in XMR

Correct shares pay 1 XMR each at resolution. Settlement is direct — no withdrawal queue, no identity check, no exchange required. Fungible Monero from the moment it leaves resolution. Your winnings are indistinguishable from any other XMR.

Top Forecasters

Ranked by accuracy across resolved markets. Addresses only. Always.

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Your position.
Your terms.
Your privacy.

Pseudonymous accounts. No KYC. Create a handle, take positions, and collect in XMR — your identity stays yours.

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